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Supply Volatility Index, Fall 2025

The Fall 2025 Supply Volatility Index reveals why supply chains are experiencing their highest volatility levels since 2022—and why uncertainty, not shortages, is driving the disruption. The report uncovers rising PO changes, hidden inflation pressure, and shifting delivery performance.

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Executive Summary

The Supply Volatility Index analyzes SourceDay’s proprietary data, generated from processing real-world, inbound supply chain spend. In Q3 2025, it analyzed $5B in direct spend across more than 100,000 global suppliers for North American manufacturers and distributors.

It measures volatility across inbound supply using key drivers like on-time delivery (OTD), shifting prices, and purchase order (PO) changes. By monitoring and reporting trends, this report helps manufacturers and distributors spot early signs of instability and risk, so they can make smarter business decisions.

In Q3 2025, overall supply volatility reached its highest levels since the last peak in 2022, during the Covid pandemic. Volatility trended up at a similar rate, but its sources and root causes have changed.

About SourceDay

SourceDay is a supplier portal with AI-driven PO collaboration that connects your suppliers with your ERP to automate the entire purchase order lifecycle. By eliminating 80% of manual tasks, predicting risks before they impact production, and ensuring 100% PO data accuracy, SourceDay helps manufacturers and distributors reduce costs, improve supplier reliability and performance, and keep production running smoothly.

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