Supply Volatility Index
SourceDay’s Supply Volatility Index is a data-driven analysis of supply chain volatility from the pre-pandemic period through today (Q1 2021–present). It uncovers the key drivers impacting inbound supply stability for manufacturers and distributors.
The Index tracks three core volatility factors: purchase order changes (uncertainty), on-time delivery (execution), and price risk (cost pressure)—along with overall supplier engagement.
Designed for supply chain leaders, this report helps identify early signals of disruption, understand shifting risk patterns, and make more informed, proactive operational and financial decisions.
Volatility Didn’t Disappear.
It Shifted.
The Q1 2026 Supply Chain Volatility Index reveals a shift from operational disruption to cost-driven risk across manufacturing supply chains. Based on real-world purchase order data across direct materials spend, this report shows where volatility is moving—and what it means for your business.
What you’ll learn:
Q1 data shows a shift in how volatility impacts manufacturers. Execution is becoming more stable. Cost pressure is increasing. That means the biggest risks may not show up in traditional metrics like delivery or order changes. They show up in margin.
Inside the report:
- Why purchase order changes declined in Q1
- What rising price risk signals for supplier behavior
- How trade policy is influencing cost volatility
- Where volatility is concentrated across categories
- What manufacturers should do next
Methodology
The Supply Volatility Index analyzes SourceDay’s proprietary dataset, built from real-world inbound supply chain activity across direct materials spend. It provides a comprehensive view of how supply chain volatility is evolving across manufacturers and distributors.
The Index measures volatility across three core drivers: purchase order changes (uncertainty), on-time delivery (execution), and price risk (cost pressure). By tracking these signals over time, it helps organizations identify emerging risks earlier and make more informed operational and financial decisions.